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The Great Waves in Economic History
In western economic history, living standards appear to have had three "supercycles" of rise and fall of economic activity over the past 4,000 years.
Rafael R. Guthmann
Feb 21
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Democracy and development
It appears to be the case that the foremost causal factor in social and economy development is democracy
Rafael R. Guthmann
Feb 6
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Democracy and development
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Should intellectual property be enforced?
Should patents exist? It appears that they do, although, granting a monopoly of 20 years to new technologies might be too much.
Rafael R. Guthmann
Jan 18
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Should intellectual property be enforced?
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The Democratic Stationary Bandit
The modern welfare state is what happens when you mix Ghenghis-Khan with Classical Athens
Rafael R. Guthmann
Nov 12, 2022
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The Democratic Stationary Bandit
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Virtual public goods and Musk's purchase of Twitter
Musk's purchase of Twitter suggests that society might need virtual public squares besides private social media sites
Rafael R. Guthmann
Nov 10, 2022
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Virtual public goods and Musk's purchase of Twitter
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Why do billions speak languages with large Latin heritage while less than 14 million speak languages derived from Ancient Greek?
Answer: historical contingency that Latin's influence could be preserved in Western Europe while most Greek speaking regions of antiquity the local…
Rafael R. Guthmann
Nov 8, 2022
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Why do billions speak languages with large Latin heritage while less than 14 million speak languages derived from Ancient Greek?
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Ancient scientists and the economic performance of antiquity
Ancient economic history can be summarized by: Fast growth from 800 BC to 300 BC, slow growth from 300 BC to around 1 AD, negative growth from 1 AD to…
Rafael R. Guthmann
Sep 21, 2022
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Ancient scientists and the economic performance of antiquity
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The Brazilian Trap
Countries in the "middle income trap" are there for specific reasons
Rafael R. Guthmann
Sep 16, 2022
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The Brazilian Trap
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Rafael’s Commentary
Thoughts in economics, society, politics, and history
By Rafael R. Guthmann
· Launched a year ago
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