Rafael’s Commentary

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Fertility and the Life Cycle of Civilizations
An "inverted Malthusian model" can provide a simple general theory of why civilizations rise and fall.
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Rafael R. Guthmann
3
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The Industrial Revolution was just catch-up growth
The mystery of why growth has been so fast from early 19th century up to the late 20th century is that living standards in the early 19th century were…
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Rafael R. Guthmann
7
The world is multipolar now and this is a good thing
Unipolarity for extended periods means the worst kind of monopoly: institutional monopoly
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Rafael R. Guthmann
1
3400 years of macroeconomic performance in one graph
Modern economic growth does not look as impressive as in other such graphs
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Rafael R. Guthmann
There is a need for the Malthusian Model?
Perhaps not really.
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Rafael R. Guthmann
4
The Great Waves in Economic History
In western economic history, living standards appear to have had three "supercycles" of rise and fall of economic activity over the past 4,000 years.
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Rafael R. Guthmann
1
Democracy and development
It appears to be the case that the foremost causal factor in social and economy development is democracy
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Rafael R. Guthmann
Should intellectual property be enforced?
Should patents exist? It appears that they do, although, granting a monopoly of 20 years to new technologies might be too much.
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Rafael R. Guthmann
3
Rafael’s Commentary
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Rafael’s Commentary

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